• Focus on what we feel are the important factors of Handicapping.
• Consistency By bring these factors into focus, your handicapping becomes more consistent
• Save Time The TruForm Worksheet is designed to save time by bringing the important factors into focus and eliminating all the "extra" information. The whole race is on one 81/2 by 11 inch printed sheet. This allows the handicapper to process a race quickly and see patterns. This is especially important for Desktop Racing, Simulcasting, and RaceBooks where there are betting opportunities every few minutes from multiple tracks.

At this point, the reader should go to TruForm Handicapping Worksheets and print out a Worksheet for a race and follow along with the explanation section below. The section below describes each field and its significance in our Handicapping process.

Explanation to Fields on the TruForm Handicapping Worksheet

Standard information this section describes the "standard information" on the TruForm Worksheet, which is included in most handicapping products. Experienced handicappers may want to skip this section.

• Race Description Section- This section contains information particular to the Race

  • Race Number, Track, Date - Standard Information
  • Race Distance - Distance of the Race in furlongs. 1 furlong is 220 yards or 1/8 of a mile. Sprint races are less than 1 mile and Route races are 1 mile and over. 8.5 furlongs is equivalent to 1 1/16 miles.
  • Race Surface - Track Surface that this race is carded to be run on. There are 2 types of track surfaces, dirt and grass (Turf). Some tracks have multiple racing strips: Dirt (Main Track), iDirt (Inner Track), Turf (Main Turf), iTurf (Inner Turf).
  • Purse - Value of the race, the higher the purse, the better the competition in general.
  • Race Conditions - A brief description of the race conditions including age, class, Post time, and number of entries.

 

• Entry Description Section- This section contains information particular to the Entry in the race

  • Program Number- The official Program Number used for wagering.
  • Entry Name - The official Entry name
  • Morning Line Odds - The official Morning Line (ML) Win Odds set by the Racing Secretary
  • Jockey - The Jockey
  • Jockey/Meet - is the Jockey's Win% and number Starts at the current meet. Typically 2 days behind.
  • Trainer - The Trainer
  • Trainer/Meet - is the Trainer's Win% and number Starts at the current meet. Typically 2 days behind.
  • Age/Sex - Year Entry was foaled and the sex. c - colt; f - filly; g - gelding; h - horse; m - mare
• Last Finish - The Last Race Finish. The Last Race Finish is an important factor in our handicapping method. An Entry who has finished second, third, and first (sometimes) last race is preferred.
• Last Track - The Race Track where the Entries last race was run. Entries "shipping" in from off the NYRA Circuit (Aqueduct, Belmont, Saratoga) are discriminated against in our handicapping method. In all but Graded Stake Races, we prefer Entries with their last race on the NYRA Circuit. This is also true for Worksheets for other Tracks/Circuits as well.
• Last Race Comment - A brief description of the Entries last race, including trouble information.

HDM information this section describes the information unique on the TruForm Worksheet. This information is calculated using EIS Company developed formulas and can only be found on the TruForm Worksheet.

• Predicted Speed and Speed Rank - The Predicted Speed is a figure developed by EIS based on the BRISnet Speed rating. Speed Rank is a ranking of the Entries by the Predicted Speed figure. We consider the Predicted Speed figure as the most important handicapping factor. That is why the Entries are listed on the Worksheet in order of Speed Rank.

• Predicted Pace and Pace Rank - The Predicted Pace is a figure developed by EIS based on the BRISnet E2 pace rating. This is a rating of the Entries speed to the half way point of the race. Pace Rank is a ranking of the Entries by the Predicted Pace figure. We consider the Predicted Pace figure as a very important handicapping factor.

• S/P FIG - The Speed/Pace figure is a combination of Predicted Speed and Predicted Pace. This figure gives a good indication of the Entries overall expected performance level.

• Days Off - This number represents the days since the Entries last race. We prefer 11 to 28 days as the optimum days off. Entries with up to 48 days off are considered playable. Entries off for more than 48 days are considered a "lay off" entry and are discriminated against.

• J/T FIG - The Jockey/Trainer figure is a rating of the Jockey/Trainer combination at the current Meet.

• Work Fig and Work Rank - The Workout Figure is based on a table of Workout figures for the various workout distances. The Work Fig based on where, when, distance, type of work (Breezing or Handily), and track condition. The Work Fig can be an important factor in determining the Entries condition. It is especially useful for Entries coming off a layoff and for maidens/1st Time Starters. The Work Rank is the Entries rank based on Workout Figs.

• Med - This column is used to identify an Entry who is a first time Lasix user as denoted by "1stL" in the Med column. 1stL entries can have a significance in hot, humid whether and very cold weather and can move a First Time Starter (FTL) up in preference.

• S/P Win% - This column is on the NYRA Circuit Worksheets only. It is a database statistic updated weekly. This column is the Win% of entries that have this HDM Speed Rank and Pace Rank for the course and distance of this race. For example, if an entry has a HDM Speed Rank of 1 and HDM Pace Rank of 4 and a S/P Win% of 26.7 in a today's Dirt Route Race; It mean that horses with a HDM Speed Rank of 1 and HDM Pace Rank of 4 win 26.7% of Dirt Routes at this Track/Meet. This statistic is done for Dirt Sprint, Dirt Route, Turf Main Course, and Turf Inner Course.

• HDM Pick for NYRA Race Tracks- The HDM Pick, shown in red on the TruForm Worksheet, are the computer generated selections based on the handicapping factors on the TruForm Worksheet as described above. For NYRA Racing, the HDM Pick is based on the HDM Database tables of Win Percents of various factors over the last 3 years. These tables are updated weekly. The formula NYRA Tracks is analyzed before each Meet to try to optimize the Win% of the top 2 picks.

• HDM Pick for All Other Race Tracks- The HDM Pick, shown in red on the TruForm Worksheet, are the computer generated selections based on the handicapping factors on the TruForm Worksheet as described above. For all Race Tracks other than NYRA Track (see above), the HDM Pick is based on a standard formula that weights each handicapping factor. The TruForm Worksheets themselves are applicable to all North American Thoroughbred Race Tracks. We will post the TruForm Worksheets for other Tracks and special events. Typically we post 3 to 6 Tracks daily.

>>>>>>>>>> 6/6/04 - Updates to the TruForm Handicapping Worksheet <<<<<<<<<

• Database Tracks - We have expanded the HDM Database coverage. The original HDM Database coverage was for the NYRA (New York Racing Association) Tracks. We now have HDM Database coverage for:
  • Hollywood, Santa Anita, Del Mar
  • Oaklawn Park

   

  We plan to keep adding more tracks to the list of HDM Database Tracks.

• Entry Win Percent Line- This is third line on the TruForm Worksheet. It has the Number of starts and the Win percent for the entry as follows:

  • Life Time Starts
  • Starts on this Track and Course
  • Starts at today's Distance
  • Starts on an off track
  • Starts on Turf - After the HDM Turf Figures (see below), and only for races carded on the Turf

• HDM Turf Figures - We developed a new set of figures exclusively for Turf Races. The HDM Turf Figures are only listed for Turf Races and are in green. They are listed on the third line and in the column below the respective HDM figure on the first line. If an entry doesn't have a turf start in its last 3 starts, or if the starts are at foreign tracks where no BRIS speed figures are not available, then the entry gets no HDM Turf Figures
  • Predicted Turf Speed & Rank - This figure is a prediction of the entries overall speed in this turf race. It is similar to the HDM Prodicted Speed on the first line, but in its calculation it only uses the most recent turf races the entry has in its past performance. The rank number rates each entry from highest to lowest figure. If an entry doesn't have a turf start in its last 3 starts, or if the starts are at foreign tracks where no BRIS speed figures are not available, then the entry gets no HDM Turf Figures
  • Predicted Turf Pace & Rank - This figure is a prediction of the entries overall Late Pace in this turf race. It is similar to the HDM Prodicted Pace on the first line, but in its calculation it only uses the most recent turf races the entry has in its past performance. The calculation is also different because it is based on the LP (Late Pace) Brisnet Figure. The theory is that in Turf Races, Late Pace ability dominates the race. Turf Races typically has a different pace scenario where many horses win off a late move. Many turf races are run with a "cavalry charge" in the stretch. The Predicted Turf Pace is an indication of the entries ability to finish with a good late move. The rank number rates each entry from highest to lowest figure. If an entry doesn't have a turf start in its last 3 starts, or if the starts are at foreign tracks where no BRIS speed figures are not available, then the entry gets no HDM Turf Figures.
  • Turf S/P - This figure is combination of the Predicted Turf Speed and Predicted Turf Pace similar to the S/P Figure on the first line. This figure gives a good indication of the Entries overall expected performance level. If an entry doesn't have a turf start in its last 3 starts, or if the starts are at foreign tracks where no BRIS speed figures are not available, then the entry gets no HDM Turf Figures.
  • Last Race Turf Mark - Next to the Last Finish position on the first line will be a " t " which indicates that the last race it ran was on turf. This is true for Worksheets where the race is carded on the dirt as well as the turf. Many handicappers like to know if there is a Turf to Dirt or a Dirt to Turf angle.

These are the handicapping facts and figures the TruForm Handicapping Worksheet is based on.

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The HDM Turn Time Report

The HDM Turn Time Report (TT Report) ranks the entries in the race in terms of early, middle, and late pace. The last 5 races of the entries past performance lines are examined for the Pace Line Race. The Pace Line Race is seleted based on the surface/distance of today's race.

At this point, the reader should go to HDM Turn Time Reports and print out a TT Report for a race and follow along with the explanation section below:

There are 3 types of figures / ranks on the TT Report. The ranks are in parenthesis next to the respective figure:

• BRIS Figures & Ranks: These are the raw BRIS figures for the Pace Line Race. Click the following link for an explanation of the BRIS figures: (www.brisnet.com).
  • E1 - The E1 Pace Figure rates how fast the horse ran from the Start to First call for the Pace Line Race
  • E2 - The E2 Pace Figure rates how fast the horse ran from the Start to Second call for the Pace Line Race
  • LP - The LP Pace Figure rates how fast the horse ran from the Second call to the Finish for the Pace Line Race
  • SPD - The SPD Figure rates how fast the horse ran from the Start to the Finish for the Pace Line Race

• HDM Turn Time Figures & Ranks: These figures/ranks are created by the HDM program based on the raw BRIS figures for the Pace Line Race.
  • TT - The TT Figure is E2 - E1 for the Pace Line Race. This figure is intended to rate the the horses speed around the far turn.
  • E2+TT - The E2+TT Figure is E2 Figure plus the TT Figure for the Pace Line Race. This figure is intended to rate the horses speed around the far turn and the quality of the "middle move".
  • Velocity- The Velocity Figure is the average of the E1, E2, LP Figures for the Pace Line Race. This figure is intended to rate the horses overall velocity during the Pace Line Race. A high velocity rating indecates that the horse should be a strong Pace contender.

• HDM Speed Figures & Ranks: These are the same figures created by the HDM program for the TruForm Worksheet. These figures are based on the last five races for the respective entry.
  • HDM Spd - Predicted Speed for today's race. Note: Entries are listed by by HDM Spd Rank.
  • HDM S/P - Predicted Speed/Pace for today's race

Pace Line Race: The Pace Line Race is a race selected from the last 5 starts that is the most recent at today's surface/distance on a Fast/Firm track as follows:

• Turf - If today's race is on the Turf, the Pace Line Race is the most recent Turf race on a Firm Course. Distance on Turf is not considered.
• Dirt Sprint - If today's race is a Dirt Sprint (i.e. 1-Turn Race), the Pace Line Race is the most recent Dirt Sprint (i.e. 1-Turn Race) on a Fast Track
• Dirt Route - If today's race is a Dirt Route (i.e. 2-Turn Race), the Pace Line Race is the most recent Dirt Route (i.e. 2-Turn Race) on a Fast Track

NOTE: If there is no race in the entries last 5 starts that meets the criteria above, then there is NO Pace Line Race for this entry. Only HDM Speed and Pace Figures will be generated for this entry. You will see "99" in the rank for the Entries with no Pace Line Race.

Please Note: The TruForm Handicapping Worksheets are posted in "PDF" file format. You need a free software application called Adobe Acrobat Reader on your PC in order to view and print the worksheets. Click here for more information

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